View our publications

As part of our research into topics including trade and productivity & skills, we have produced a series of detailed publications which you are welcome to download and study the findings.

Click on any publication you’re interested in below to view and download.

A Special Report: Infrastructure and Productivity WMCA

Authors: Jun Du and Mustapha Douch

This review was written for the West Midland Combined Authority’s Productivity and Skills Commission. It reviews the current understanding about how infrastructure impacts on productivity and growth, in the context of the UK and the West Midlands, so as to identify the key issues in the existing infrastructure and in turn offer recommendations.

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UK Trade in the New Globalised World

Authors: Agelos Delis, Mustapha Douch, Jun Du (Lead), Christos Ioannidis, Sandra L. Torres and Enrico Vanino.

State of the art on international trade and its drivers at both the aggregate and firm levels, by reviewing the literature and evaluating the UK’s position in the Global Value Chains (GVCs). It identifies what it is that we need to know about UK trade, but do not yet know, guide the prioritisation of the research agenda on the UK trade and productivity issues.

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Defying Gravity? Policy Uncertainty and Trade Diversion

Authors: Mustapha Douch, Jun Du and Enrico Vanino

This paper investigates the effects of trade policy uncertainty on firm export margins and trade diversion, exploiting the Brexit process as a natural experiment and using the UK’s transaction-level trade in goods data.

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Individual Ownership, Age of Firm, and Productivity

Authors: Mustapha Douch, Jun Du and Tomasz Mickiewicz

This paper investigates the relationship of ownership structure and concentration in determining productivity and how firm age plays an important role. The empirical work draws on the UK companies over 2008-2017, using large micro level data from Orbis.

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The Evolution of British Sectoral Exports to China, EU and US

Authors: Agelos Delis, Christos Ioannidis and Michalis Stamatogiannis

This paper analyses the evolution and determination of UK exports in the ten major sectors over the period 1962 – 2016, by estimating the export sensitivity to fluctuations in the real exchange rate and in world trend and cyclical income.

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UK Productivity & Skills

Researchers: Mustapha Douch, Jun Du (Lead), Tomasz Mickiewicz, David Morris

State of the art on the UK’s productivity and skills. It overviews the current literature about the productivity puzzle, distinguishing the UK’s zero-growth productivity problem since the financial crisis in 2008 from the UK’s long-term low productivity growth challenge. The report focuses on the skills issues in determining productivity but pays particular attentions on the role of technology in the skills-productivity links. It identifies what it is that we need to know about UK productivity challenges, but do not yet know, guide the prioritisation of the research agenda on the UK productivity issues.

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Research Areas

The Lloyds Banking Group Centre for Business Prosperity delivers world leading research in a multitude of different topics.

Data Resources

We have created high quality databases that capture data in precise detail to aid in our studies of trade and productivity in the UK